Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 49.69%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 24.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.65%) and 2-1 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.34%), while for a Moreirense win it was 0-1 (8.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitoria de Guimaraes would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Moreirense |
| 49.69% | 26.17% | 24.14% |
| Both teams to score 47.57% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.12% | 55.88% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.01% | 77% |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.46% | 22.55% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.87% | 56.13% |
| Moreirense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.41% | 38.59% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.67% | 75.33% |
| Score Analysis |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Moreirense |
| 1-0 @ 12.96% 2-0 @ 9.65% 2-1 @ 9.19% 3-0 @ 4.79% 3-1 @ 4.56% 3-2 @ 2.17% 4-0 @ 1.79% 4-1 @ 1.7% Other @ 2.87% Total : 49.69% | 1-1 @ 12.34% 0-0 @ 8.7% 2-2 @ 4.38% Other @ 0.75% Total : 26.17% | 0-1 @ 8.29% 1-2 @ 5.88% 0-2 @ 3.95% 1-3 @ 1.87% 2-3 @ 1.39% 0-3 @ 1.25% Other @ 1.53% Total : 24.14% |