Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 49.69%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 24.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.65%) and 2-1 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.34%), while for a Moreirense win it was 0-1 (8.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitoria de Guimaraes would win this match.
Result | ||
Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Moreirense |
49.69% | 26.17% | 24.14% |
Both teams to score 47.57% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.12% | 55.88% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.01% | 77% |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.46% | 22.55% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.87% | 56.13% |
Moreirense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.41% | 38.59% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.67% | 75.33% |
Score Analysis |
Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Moreirense |
1-0 @ 12.96% 2-0 @ 9.65% 2-1 @ 9.19% 3-0 @ 4.79% 3-1 @ 4.56% 3-2 @ 2.17% 4-0 @ 1.79% 4-1 @ 1.7% Other @ 2.87% Total : 49.69% | 1-1 @ 12.34% 0-0 @ 8.7% 2-2 @ 4.38% Other @ 0.75% Total : 26.17% | 0-1 @ 8.29% 1-2 @ 5.88% 0-2 @ 3.95% 1-3 @ 1.87% 2-3 @ 1.39% 0-3 @ 1.25% Other @ 1.53% Total : 24.14% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 14 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 36 |
2 | Benfica | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 31 | 7 | 24 | 31 |
3 | Porto | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 22 | 31 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 13 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 27 |
5 | Braga | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 24 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 21 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 20 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Gil Vicente | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 16 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 15 |
11 | Casa Pia | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 14 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 14 |
13 | Nacional | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 12 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 12 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 11 |
16 | AVS | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 11 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 9 |
18 | AroucaArouca | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 23 | -16 | 8 |
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