Primeira Liga | Gameweek 7

Sep 25, 2021 at 6pm UK

Estadio D Afonso Henriques

Guimaraes
1 - 3
Benfica

Duarte (78' pen.)

FT(HT: 0-2)

Yaremchuk (30', 41'), Mario (73')
Otamendi (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Vitoria de Guimaraes and Benfica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 55.86%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 21.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.86%) and 0-2 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.87%), while for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win it was 1-0 (5.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result
Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Benfica
21.18%	22.95%	55.86%

Both teams to score 53.68%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.99%

46.01%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.68%

68.31%

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.13%

35.86%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.35%

72.64%

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.7%

16.3%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.13%

45.86%

Score Analysis

Vitoria de Guimaraes 21.18%

Benfica 55.86%

Draw 22.95%

Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Benfica
1-0 @ 5.99% 2-1 @ 5.58% 2-0 @ 3.07% 3-1 @ 1.91% 3-2 @ 1.73% 3-0 @ 1.05% Other @ 1.86% Total : 21.18%	1-1 @ 10.87% 0-0 @ 5.85% 2-2 @ 5.06% 3-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.95%	0-1 @ 10.6% 1-2 @ 9.86% 0-2 @ 9.62% 1-3 @ 5.97% 0-3 @ 5.82% 2-3 @ 3.06% 1-4 @ 2.71% 0-4 @ 2.64% 2-4 @ 1.39% 1-5 @ 0.98% 0-5 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.26% Total : 55.86%