Guimaraes
3 - 3
Benfica

Andre (21'), Estupinan (45+2'), Duarte (83')
Janvier (85')

FT(HT: 2-3)

Semedo (7' og.), Pizzi (15'), Radonjic (28')
Mario (27'), Verissimo (37')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Taca da Liga clash between Vitoria de Guimaraes and Benfica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 54.18%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 22.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.81%) and 0-2 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.03%), while for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win it was 1-0 (6.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.

Result
Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Benfica
22.51%	23.31%	54.18%

Both teams to score 54.35%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54%

46.01%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.69%

68.31%

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.4%

34.61%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.67%

71.33%

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.11%

16.89%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.08%

46.93%

Score Analysis

Vitoria de Guimaraes 22.51%

Benfica 54.18%

Draw 23.31%

Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Benfica
1-0 @ 6.2% 2-1 @ 5.85% 2-0 @ 3.29% 3-1 @ 2.07% 3-2 @ 1.84% 3-0 @ 1.16% Other @ 2.09% Total : 22.51%	1-1 @ 11.03% 0-0 @ 5.85% 2-2 @ 5.2% 3-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.31%	0-1 @ 10.39% 1-2 @ 9.81% 0-2 @ 9.24% 1-3 @ 5.82% 0-3 @ 5.48% 2-3 @ 3.09% 1-4 @ 2.59% 0-4 @ 2.44% 2-4 @ 1.37% 1-5 @ 0.92% Other @ 3.04% Total : 54.18%