Primeira Liga | Gameweek 7

Sep 25, 2021 at 3.30pm UK

Parque Joaquim Almeida Freitas

Moreirense
2 - 1
Arouca

Silva (29'), Luis (64')
Silva (25'), Vitoria (61'), Lacerda (74'), Pires (78'), Kewin (90+3')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Silva (82')
Ba (15'), Kouassi (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Moreirense and Arouca, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 39.83%. A win for Moreirense had a probability of 32.97% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.38%) and 0-2 (7.24%). The likeliest Moreirense win was 1-0 (9.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result
Moreirense	Draw	Arouca
32.97%	27.19%	39.83%

Both teams to score 49.88%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.52%

55.48%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.34%

76.66%

Moreirense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.56%

31.44%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.19%

67.81%

Arouca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.75%

27.25%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.32%

62.67%

Score Analysis

Moreirense 32.97%

Arouca 39.83%

Draw 27.19%

Moreirense	Draw	Arouca
1-0 @ 9.91% 2-1 @ 7.46% 2-0 @ 5.74% 3-1 @ 2.88% 3-0 @ 2.21% 3-2 @ 1.87% Other @ 2.91% Total : 32.97%	1-1 @ 12.88% 0-0 @ 8.57% 2-2 @ 4.85% Other @ 0.89% Total : 27.19%	0-1 @ 11.13% 1-2 @ 8.38% 0-2 @ 7.24% 1-3 @ 3.63% 0-3 @ 3.14% 2-3 @ 2.1% 1-4 @ 1.18% 0-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.01% Total : 39.83%