Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 67.7%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 12.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.73%) and 1-2 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.38%), while for a Moreirense win it was 1-0 (4.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
Result | ||
Moreirense | Draw | Benfica |
12.49% | 19.8% | 67.7% |
Both teams to score 45.32% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.36% | 47.64% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.16% | 69.84% |
Moreirense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
52.14% | 47.86% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
16.87% | 83.12% |
Benfica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.92% | 13.08% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.31% | 39.69% |
Score Analysis |
Moreirense | Draw | Benfica |
1-0 @ 4.61% 2-1 @ 3.46% 2-0 @ 1.7% Other @ 2.72% Total : 12.49% | 1-1 @ 9.38% 0-0 @ 6.26% 2-2 @ 3.52% Other @ 0.64% Total : 19.8% | 0-2 @ 12.95% 0-1 @ 12.73% 1-2 @ 9.54% 0-3 @ 8.78% 1-3 @ 6.47% 0-4 @ 4.47% 1-4 @ 3.29% 2-3 @ 2.39% 0-5 @ 1.82% 1-5 @ 1.34% 2-4 @ 1.21% Other @ 2.71% Total : 67.7% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 29 | 25 | 2 | 2 | 84 | 27 | 57 | 77 |
2 | Benfica | 29 | 22 | 4 | 3 | 65 | 23 | 42 | 70 |
3 | Porto | 29 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 53 | 23 | 30 | 59 |
4 | Braga | 29 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 61 | 40 | 21 | 59 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 29 | 17 | 6 | 6 | 45 | 29 | 16 | 57 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 29 | 12 | 7 | 10 | 30 | 33 | -3 | 43 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 29 | 13 | 4 | 12 | 50 | 39 | 11 | 43 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 29 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 31 | 36 | -5 | 35 |
9 | Casa Pia | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 32 |
10 | SC FarenseFarense | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 38 | 41 | -3 | 31 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 29 | 5 | 15 | 9 | 31 | 37 | -6 | 30 |
12 | BoavistaBoavista | 29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 34 | 55 | -21 | 29 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 29 | 8 | 5 | 16 | 43 | 50 | -7 | 29 |
14 | Gil Vicente | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 28 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 29 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 28 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 32 | 62 | -30 | 27 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 29 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 28 | 60 | -32 | 22 |
18 | Vizela | 29 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 28 | 60 | -32 | 21 |
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