Primeira Liga | Gameweek 1

Aug 7, 2021 at 6pm UK

Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas

Moreirense
1 - 2
Benfica

Martins (30')
Soares (36'), Pires (69'), Jorge (75'), Pacheco (90+3')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Verissimo (9'), Waldschmidt (19')
Taarabt (33'), Weigl (60'), Meite (81'), Silva (90+8')
Goncalves (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Moreirense and Benfica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 67.7%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 12.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.73%) and 1-2 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.38%), while for a Moreirense win it was 1-0 (4.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result
Moreirense	Draw	Benfica
12.49%	19.8%	67.7%

Both teams to score 45.32%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.36%

47.64%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.16%

69.84%

Moreirense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.14%

47.86%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.87%

83.12%

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.92%

13.08%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.31%

39.69%

Score Analysis

Moreirense 12.49%

Benfica 67.7%

Draw 19.8%

Moreirense	Draw	Benfica
1-0 @ 4.61% 2-1 @ 3.46% 2-0 @ 1.7% Other @ 2.72% Total : 12.49%	1-1 @ 9.38% 0-0 @ 6.26% 2-2 @ 3.52% Other @ 0.64% Total : 19.8%	0-2 @ 12.95% 0-1 @ 12.73% 1-2 @ 9.54% 0-3 @ 8.78% 1-3 @ 6.47% 0-4 @ 4.47% 1-4 @ 3.29% 2-3 @ 2.39% 0-5 @ 1.82% 1-5 @ 1.34% 2-4 @ 1.21% Other @ 2.71% Total : 67.7%