Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 74.04%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for Tondela had a probability of 9.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.85%) and 0-3 (10.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.94%), while for a Tondela win it was 1-0 (3.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Benfica in this match.
Result | ||
Tondela | Draw | Benfica |
9.22% | 16.73% | 74.04% |
Both teams to score 43.9% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.83% | 43.17% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.43% | 65.57% |
Tondela Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
48.83% | 51.17% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
14.55% | 85.45% |
Benfica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.9% | 10.1% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
66.74% | 33.26% |
Score Analysis |
Tondela | Draw | Benfica |
1-0 @ 3.46% 2-1 @ 2.66% 2-0 @ 1.16% Other @ 1.94% Total : 9.22% | 1-1 @ 7.94% 0-0 @ 5.17% 2-2 @ 3.05% Other @ 0.57% Total : 16.73% | 0-2 @ 13.58% 0-1 @ 11.85% 0-3 @ 10.38% 1-2 @ 9.1% 1-3 @ 6.96% 0-4 @ 5.95% 1-4 @ 3.99% 0-5 @ 2.73% 2-3 @ 2.33% 1-5 @ 1.83% 2-4 @ 1.34% 0-6 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.97% Total : 74.04% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 30 | 26 | 2 | 2 | 87 | 27 | 60 | 80 |
2 | Benfica | 30 | 23 | 4 | 3 | 68 | 24 | 44 | 73 |
3 | Porto | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 55 | 24 | 31 | 62 |
4 | Braga | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 63 | 41 | 22 | 62 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 45 | 32 | 13 | 57 |
6 | AroucaArouca | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 51 | 40 | 11 | 44 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 43 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 30 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 33 | 38 | -5 | 36 |
9 | Casa Pia | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 32 |
10 | SC FarenseFarense | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 39 | 44 | -5 | 31 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 30 | 5 | 16 | 9 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 31 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 31 |
13 | BoavistaBoavista | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 30 |
14 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 45 | 52 | -7 | 30 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 29 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 34 | 64 | -30 | 28 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 30 | 62 | -32 | 23 |
18 | Vizela | 30 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 29 | 62 | -33 | 21 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |