Penafiel
1 - 1
Moreirense

Pedro (66')
Silva (71')

FT
(aet)

Franco (68')
Soares (70')

Penafiel win 4-3 on penalties

Coverage of the Taca da Liga Quarter-Finals clash between Penafiel and Moreirense.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moreirense win with a probability of 44.28%. A win for Penafiel had a probability of 28.76% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.8%) and 0-2 (8.33%). The likeliest Penafiel win was 1-0 (9.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%).

Result
Penafiel	Draw	Moreirense
28.76%	26.96%	44.28%

Both teams to score 48.85%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.01%

55.99%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.92%

77.08%

Penafiel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.25%

34.75%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.52%

71.48%

Moreirense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.86%

25.14%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.14%

59.85%

Score Analysis

Penafiel 28.76%

Moreirense 44.28%

Draw 26.96%

Penafiel	Draw	Moreirense
1-0 @ 9.23% 2-1 @ 6.74% 2-0 @ 4.88% 3-1 @ 2.38% 3-0 @ 1.72% 3-2 @ 1.64% Other @ 2.17% Total : 28.76%	1-1 @ 12.75% 0-0 @ 8.74% 2-2 @ 4.65% Other @ 0.83% Total : 26.96%	0-1 @ 12.06% 1-2 @ 8.8% 0-2 @ 8.33% 1-3 @ 4.05% 0-3 @ 3.83% 2-3 @ 2.14% 1-4 @ 1.4% 0-4 @ 1.32% Other @ 2.34% Total : 44.28%