Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portimonense win with a probability of 42.06%. A draw had a probability of 29.3% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 28.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portimonense win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.5%) and 2-1 (7.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.26%), while for a Moreirense win it was 0-1 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Portimonense | Draw | Moreirense |
42.06% | 29.28% | 28.66% |
Both teams to score 42.56% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
36.1% | 63.89% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
16.89% | 83.11% |
Portimonense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.93% | 30.07% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.8% | 66.2% |
Moreirense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.85% | 39.14% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.14% | 75.86% |
Score Analysis |
Portimonense | Draw | Moreirense |
1-0 @ 14.14% 2-0 @ 8.5% 2-1 @ 7.97% 3-0 @ 3.4% 3-1 @ 3.19% 3-2 @ 1.5% 4-0 @ 1.02% 4-1 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.37% Total : 42.05% | 1-1 @ 13.26% 0-0 @ 11.76% 2-2 @ 3.74% Other @ 0.5% Total : 29.26% | 0-1 @ 11.03% 1-2 @ 6.22% 0-2 @ 5.18% 1-3 @ 1.95% 0-3 @ 1.62% 2-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 1.49% Total : 28.65% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 13 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 40 | 8 | 32 | 33 |
2 | Benfica | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 31 | 7 | 24 | 31 |
3 | Porto | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 22 | 31 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 13 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 27 |
5 | Braga | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 24 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 21 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 20 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Rio AveRio Ave | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 15 |
10 | Casa Pia | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 14 |
11 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 14 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 13 |
13 | Estrela Amadora | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 12 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 11 |
15 | AVS | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 11 |
16 | Nacional | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 9 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 19 | -12 | 9 |
18 | AroucaArouca | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 23 | -16 | 8 |
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