Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portimonense win with a probability of 42.06%. A draw had a probability of 29.3% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 28.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portimonense win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.5%) and 2-1 (7.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.26%), while for a Moreirense win it was 0-1 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Portimonense | Draw | Moreirense |
| 42.06% | 29.28% | 28.66% |
| Both teams to score 42.56% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.1% | 63.89% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.89% | 83.11% |
| Portimonense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.93% | 30.07% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.8% | 66.2% |
| Moreirense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.85% | 39.14% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.14% | 75.86% |
| Score Analysis |
| Portimonense | Draw | Moreirense |
| 1-0 @ 14.14% 2-0 @ 8.5% 2-1 @ 7.97% 3-0 @ 3.4% 3-1 @ 3.19% 3-2 @ 1.5% 4-0 @ 1.02% 4-1 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.37% Total : 42.05% | 1-1 @ 13.26% 0-0 @ 11.76% 2-2 @ 3.74% Other @ 0.5% Total : 29.26% | 0-1 @ 11.03% 1-2 @ 6.22% 0-2 @ 5.18% 1-3 @ 1.95% 0-3 @ 1.62% 2-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 1.49% Total : 28.65% |