Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 69.03%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 11.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.82%) and 1-2 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.13%), while for a Moreirense win it was 1-0 (4.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Moreirense | Draw | Porto |
| 11.68% | 19.29% | 69.03% |
| Both teams to score 44.48% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.6% | 47.4% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.38% | 69.62% |
| Moreirense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.91% | 49.09% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.98% | 84.02% |
| Porto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.37% | 12.62% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.25% | 38.75% |
| Score Analysis |
| Moreirense | Draw | Porto |
| 1-0 @ 4.41% 2-1 @ 3.25% 2-0 @ 1.57% Other @ 2.46% Total : 11.68% | 1-1 @ 9.13% 0-0 @ 6.2% 2-2 @ 3.36% Other @ 0.6% Total : 19.29% | 0-2 @ 13.27% 0-1 @ 12.82% 1-2 @ 9.44% 0-3 @ 9.16% 1-3 @ 6.52% 0-4 @ 4.74% 1-4 @ 3.37% 2-3 @ 2.32% 0-5 @ 1.96% 1-5 @ 1.4% 2-4 @ 1.2% Other @ 2.83% Total : 69.02% |