Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 49.37%. A win for Moreirense had a probability of 25.54% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.45%) and 0-2 (8.87%). The likeliest Moreirense win was 1-0 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Moreirense | Draw | Famalicao |
| 25.54% | 25.08% | 49.37% |
| Both teams to score 52.08% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.38% | 50.62% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.47% | 72.53% |
| Moreirense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.53% | 34.46% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.82% | 71.18% |
| Famalicao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.48% | 20.52% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.98% | 53.01% |
| Score Analysis |
| Moreirense | Draw | Famalicao |
| 1-0 @ 7.53% 2-1 @ 6.35% 2-0 @ 4.01% 3-1 @ 2.26% 3-2 @ 1.79% 3-0 @ 1.42% Other @ 2.17% Total : 25.54% | 1-1 @ 11.93% 0-0 @ 7.07% 2-2 @ 5.03% 3-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.08% | 0-1 @ 11.2% 1-2 @ 9.45% 0-2 @ 8.87% 1-3 @ 4.99% 0-3 @ 4.68% 2-3 @ 2.66% 1-4 @ 1.98% 0-4 @ 1.85% 2-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.64% Total : 49.37% |