Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 47.63%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Tondela had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.55%) and 2-1 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.71%), while for a Tondela win it was 0-1 (9.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Famalicao | Draw | Tondela |
| 47.63% | 27.36% | 25% |
| Both teams to score 45.12% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.55% | 59.45% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.18% | 79.82% |
| Famalicao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.95% | 25.04% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.27% | 59.72% |
| Tondela Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.2% | 39.79% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.53% | 76.46% |
| Score Analysis |
| Famalicao | Draw | Tondela |
| 1-0 @ 13.79% 2-0 @ 9.55% 2-1 @ 8.8% 3-0 @ 4.41% 3-1 @ 4.06% 3-2 @ 1.87% 4-0 @ 1.53% 4-1 @ 1.41% Other @ 2.21% Total : 47.62% | 1-1 @ 12.71% 0-0 @ 9.97% 2-2 @ 4.06% Other @ 0.62% Total : 27.36% | 0-1 @ 9.18% 1-2 @ 5.86% 0-2 @ 4.23% 1-3 @ 1.8% 0-3 @ 1.3% 2-3 @ 1.25% Other @ 1.39% Total : 25% |