Primeira Liga | Gameweek 28

Apr 22, 2021 at 3pm UK

Estádio João Cardoso

Tondela
2 - 1
Nacional

Murillo (17'), Alves (60')
Augusto (74'), Strkalj (90+5')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Camacho (13')
Ibrahim Alhassan (38'), Micael (73'), Camacho (90+2'), Filipe (90+5')
Borges (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Primeira Liga clash between Tondela and Nacional, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tondela win with a probability of 38.88%. A win for Nacional had a probability of 31.77% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tondela win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.71%) and 2-0 (7.63%). The likeliest Nacional win was 0-1 (11.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tondela would win this match.

Result
Tondela	Draw	Nacional
38.88%	29.35%	31.77%

Both teams to score 43.46%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.67%

63.33%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.3%

82.7%

Tondela Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.35%

31.65%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.94%

68.06%

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.59%

36.41%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.8%

73.2%

Score Analysis

Tondela 38.87%

Nacional 31.77%

Draw 29.34%

Tondela	Draw	Nacional
1-0 @ 13.25% 2-1 @ 7.71% 2-0 @ 7.63% 3-1 @ 2.96% 3-0 @ 2.93% 3-2 @ 1.49% Other @ 2.91% Total : 38.87%	1-1 @ 13.39% 0-0 @ 11.52% 2-2 @ 3.89% Other @ 0.54% Total : 29.34%	0-1 @ 11.64% 1-2 @ 6.77% 0-2 @ 5.88% 1-3 @ 2.28% 0-3 @ 1.98% 2-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 1.91% Total : 31.77%

How you voted: Tondela vs Nacional

Tondela

88.9%

Draw

5.6%

Nacional