Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 36.55%. A win for Famalicao had a probability of 34.68% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.62%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Famalicao win was 0-1 (11.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gil Vicente | Draw | Famalicao |
| 36.55% | 28.76% | 34.68% |
| Both teams to score 45.51% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.96% | 61.04% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.98% | 81.02% |
| Gil Vicente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.07% | 31.92% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.62% | 68.37% |
| Famalicao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.85% | 33.15% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.25% | 69.75% |
| Score Analysis |
| Gil Vicente | Draw | Famalicao |
| 1-0 @ 12.08% 2-1 @ 7.62% 2-0 @ 6.9% 3-1 @ 2.9% 3-0 @ 2.63% 3-2 @ 1.6% Other @ 2.83% Total : 36.55% | 1-1 @ 13.34% 0-0 @ 10.58% 2-2 @ 4.21% Other @ 0.64% Total : 28.76% | 0-1 @ 11.68% 1-2 @ 7.37% 0-2 @ 6.45% 1-3 @ 2.71% 0-3 @ 2.37% 2-3 @ 1.55% Other @ 2.54% Total : 34.67% |