Gil Vicente

1 - 2

Moreirense

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 38.19%. A win for Moreirense had a probability of 31.63% and a draw had a probability of 30.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.62%) and 2-1 (7.38%). The likeliest Moreirense win was 0-1 (12.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.