Primeira Liga | Gameweek 21

Mar 1, 2021 at 8.15pm UK

Parque Joaquim Almeida Freitas

Moreirense
2 - 2
Belenenses

Martins (11', 37')
Pacheco (23'), Simao (80'), Rosic (90+3')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Silva (17'), Cassierra (72')
Silva (31'), Sithole (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Primeira Liga clash between Moreirense and Belenenses, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belenenses win with a probability of 37.06%. A win for Moreirense had a probability of 32.05% and a draw had a probability of 30.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belenenses win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.43%) and 1-2 (7.05%). The likeliest Moreirense win was 1-0 (12.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.

Result
Moreirense	Draw	Belenenses
32.05%	30.88%	37.06%

Both teams to score 39.67%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

32.1%

67.9%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

14.13%

85.87%

Moreirense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.24%

38.75%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.51%

75.49%

Belenenses Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.77%

35.22%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.02%

71.97%

Score Analysis

Moreirense 32.04%

Belenenses 37.06%

Draw 30.88%

Moreirense	Draw	Belenenses
1-0 @ 12.93% 2-1 @ 6.4% 2-0 @ 6.13% 3-1 @ 2.02% 3-0 @ 1.94% 3-2 @ 1.06% Other @ 1.56% Total : 32.04%	0-0 @ 13.65% 1-1 @ 13.5% 2-2 @ 3.34% Other @ 0.39% Total : 30.88%	0-1 @ 14.24% 0-2 @ 7.43% 1-2 @ 7.05% 0-3 @ 2.59% 1-3 @ 2.45% 2-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 2.15% Total : 37.06%