Tondela

1 - 0

Gil Vicente

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 35.27%. A win for Tondela had a probability of 34.48% and a draw had a probability of 30.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.04%) and 0-2 (6.86%). The likeliest Tondela win was 1-0 (12.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.