Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pacos de Ferreira win with a probability of 37.13%. A win for Moreirense had a probability of 31.66% and a draw had a probability of 31.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pacos de Ferreira win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.5%) and 2-1 (6.95%). The likeliest Moreirense win was 0-1 (13.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (14.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pacos de Ferreira would win this match.
Result | ||
Pacos de Ferreira | Draw | Moreirense |
37.13% | 31.2% | 31.66% |
Both teams to score 38.85% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
31.16% | 68.84% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
13.51% | 86.48% |
Pacos de Ferreira Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.3% | 35.69% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.53% | 72.47% |
Moreirense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.41% | 39.59% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.72% | 76.27% |
Score Analysis |
Pacos de Ferreira | Draw | Moreirense |
1-0 @ 14.55% 2-0 @ 7.5% 2-1 @ 6.95% 3-0 @ 2.58% 3-1 @ 2.39% 3-2 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.06% Total : 37.12% | 0-0 @ 14.13% 1-1 @ 13.48% 2-2 @ 3.22% Other @ 0.36% Total : 31.19% | 0-1 @ 13.09% 1-2 @ 6.25% 0-2 @ 6.07% 1-3 @ 1.93% 0-3 @ 1.87% 2-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 1.46% Total : 31.66% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 14 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 36 |
2 | Benfica | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 31 | 7 | 24 | 31 |
3 | Porto | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 22 | 31 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 13 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 27 |
5 | Braga | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 24 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 21 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 20 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Gil Vicente | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 16 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 15 |
11 | Casa Pia | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 14 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 14 |
13 | Nacional | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 12 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 12 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 11 |
16 | AVS | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 11 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 9 |
18 | AroucaArouca | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 23 | -16 | 8 |
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