Primeira Liga | Gameweek 24

Mar 20, 2021 at 3.30pm UK

Mata Real

Pacos de Ferreira
3 - 0
Moreirense

Tanque (12' pen.), Singh (20'), Ferreira (44')
Tanque (18'), Carlos (48'), Fonseca (73'), Singh (76')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Ferraresi (10')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Pacos de Ferreira and Moreirense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pacos de Ferreira win with a probability of 37.13%. A win for Moreirense had a probability of 31.66% and a draw had a probability of 31.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pacos de Ferreira win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.5%) and 2-1 (6.95%). The likeliest Moreirense win was 0-1 (13.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (14.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pacos de Ferreira would win this match.

Result
Pacos de Ferreira	Draw	Moreirense
37.13%	31.2%	31.66%

Both teams to score 38.85%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

31.16%

68.84%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

13.51%

86.48%

Pacos de Ferreira Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.3%

35.69%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.53%

72.47%

Moreirense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.41%

39.59%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.72%

76.27%

Score Analysis

Pacos de Ferreira 37.12%

Moreirense 31.66%

Draw 31.19%

Pacos de Ferreira	Draw	Moreirense
1-0 @ 14.55% 2-0 @ 7.5% 2-1 @ 6.95% 3-0 @ 2.58% 3-1 @ 2.39% 3-2 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.06% Total : 37.12%	0-0 @ 14.13% 1-1 @ 13.48% 2-2 @ 3.22% Other @ 0.36% Total : 31.19%	0-1 @ 13.09% 1-2 @ 6.25% 0-2 @ 6.07% 1-3 @ 1.93% 0-3 @ 1.87% 2-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 1.46% Total : 31.66%