Primeira Liga | Gameweek 19

Feb 14, 2021 at 8.15pm UK

Parque Joaquim Almeida Freitas

Moreirense
1 - 1
Benfica

Yan (40' pen.)
Ba (58'), Pacheco (70')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Seferovic (25')
Grimaldo (38'), Weigl (65'), Otamendi (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Moreirense and Benfica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 66.62%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 12.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.44%) and 1-2 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.72%), while for a Moreirense win it was 1-0 (5.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.

Result
Moreirense	Draw	Benfica
12.65%	20.73%	66.62%

Both teams to score 43.01%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.97%

51.03%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.1%

72.89%

Moreirense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.29%

49.71%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.54%

84.45%

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.53%

14.46%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.57%

42.43%

Score Analysis

Moreirense 12.65%

Benfica 66.62%

Draw 20.73%

Moreirense	Draw	Benfica
1-0 @ 5.03% 2-1 @ 3.4% 2-0 @ 1.76% Other @ 2.47% Total : 12.65%	1-1 @ 9.72% 0-0 @ 7.19% 2-2 @ 3.28% Other @ 0.54% Total : 20.73%	0-1 @ 13.9% 0-2 @ 13.44% 1-2 @ 9.39% 0-3 @ 8.66% 1-3 @ 6.06% 0-4 @ 4.19% 1-4 @ 2.93% 2-3 @ 2.12% 0-5 @ 1.62% 1-5 @ 1.13% 2-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.17% Total : 66.62%