Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 54.11%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 20.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.82%) and 2-1 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.87%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 0-1 (7.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
Result | ||
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
54.11% | 25.3% | 20.59% |
Both teams to score 45.87% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.04% | 55.96% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.94% | 77.05% |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.3% | 20.7% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.7% | 53.3% |
Pacos de Ferreira Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.84% | 42.16% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.43% | 78.57% |
Score Analysis |
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
1-0 @ 13.74% 2-0 @ 10.82% 2-1 @ 9.35% 3-0 @ 5.68% 3-1 @ 4.91% 4-0 @ 2.24% 3-2 @ 2.12% 4-1 @ 1.93% Other @ 3.3% Total : 54.1% | 1-1 @ 11.87% 0-0 @ 8.73% 2-2 @ 4.04% Other @ 0.67% Total : 25.3% | 0-1 @ 7.54% 1-2 @ 5.13% 0-2 @ 3.26% 1-3 @ 1.48% 2-3 @ 1.16% 0-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.1% Total : 20.59% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 14 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 36 |
2 | Benfica | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 31 | 7 | 24 | 31 |
3 | Porto | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 22 | 31 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 13 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 27 |
5 | Braga | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 24 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 21 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 20 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Gil Vicente | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 16 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 15 |
11 | Casa Pia | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 14 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 14 |
13 | Nacional | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 12 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 12 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 11 |
16 | AVS | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 11 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 9 |
18 | AroucaArouca | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 23 | -16 | 8 |
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