Primeira Liga | Gameweek 19

Feb 15, 2021 at 8.15pm UK

Sporting Lisbon
2 - 0
Pacos de Ferreira

Mario (20' pen.), Palhinha (48')
Mendes (8'), Feddal (14'), Porro (54'), Adan (75'), Cabral (88')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Baixinho (13'), Rebocho (19'), Tanque (22')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Primeira Liga clash between Sporting Lisbon and Pacos de Ferreira, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 54.11%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 20.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.82%) and 2-1 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.87%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 0-1 (7.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result
Sporting Lisbon	Draw	Pacos de Ferreira
54.11%	25.3%	20.59%

Both teams to score 45.87%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.04%

55.96%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.94%

77.05%

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.3%

20.7%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.7%

53.3%

Pacos de Ferreira Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.84%

42.16%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.43%

78.57%

Score Analysis

Sporting Lisbon 54.1%

Pacos de Ferreira 20.59%

Draw 25.3%

Sporting Lisbon	Draw	Pacos de Ferreira
1-0 @ 13.74% 2-0 @ 10.82% 2-1 @ 9.35% 3-0 @ 5.68% 3-1 @ 4.91% 4-0 @ 2.24% 3-2 @ 2.12% 4-1 @ 1.93% Other @ 3.3% Total : 54.1%	1-1 @ 11.87% 0-0 @ 8.73% 2-2 @ 4.04% Other @ 0.67% Total : 25.3%	0-1 @ 7.54% 1-2 @ 5.13% 0-2 @ 3.26% 1-3 @ 1.48% 2-3 @ 1.16% 0-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.1% Total : 20.59%