Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 56.27%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 19.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.06%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.48%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 0-1 (6.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Rio Ave |
56.27% | 24.33% | 19.39% |
Both teams to score 46.81% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.22% | 53.77% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.75% | 75.25% |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.01% | 18.99% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.46% | 50.54% |
Rio Ave Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.78% | 42.21% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.38% | 78.62% |
Score Analysis |
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Rio Ave |
1-0 @ 13.31% 2-0 @ 11.06% 2-1 @ 9.54% 3-0 @ 6.13% 3-1 @ 5.28% 4-0 @ 2.54% 3-2 @ 2.28% 4-1 @ 2.19% 4-2 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.99% Total : 56.27% | 1-1 @ 11.48% 0-0 @ 8.02% 2-2 @ 4.11% Other @ 0.72% Total : 24.33% | 0-1 @ 6.91% 1-2 @ 4.95% 0-2 @ 2.98% 1-3 @ 1.42% 2-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 1.94% Total : 19.39% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 14 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 36 |
2 | Benfica | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 31 | 7 | 24 | 31 |
3 | Porto | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 22 | 31 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 13 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 27 |
5 | Braga | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 24 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 21 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 20 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Gil Vicente | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 16 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 15 |
11 | Casa Pia | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 14 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 14 |
13 | Nacional | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 12 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 12 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 11 |
16 | AVS | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 11 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 9 |
18 | AroucaArouca | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 23 | -16 | 8 |
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