Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 44.42%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 28.66% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 0-1 (9.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rio Ave would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rio Ave | Draw | Portimonense |
| 44.42% | 26.91% | 28.66% |
| Both teams to score 48.94% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.15% | 55.84% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.03% | 76.96% |
| Rio Ave Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.99% | 25% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.34% | 59.66% |
| Portimonense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.25% | 34.74% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.52% | 71.47% |
| Score Analysis |
| Rio Ave | Draw | Portimonense |
| 1-0 @ 12.04% 2-1 @ 8.82% 2-0 @ 8.35% 3-1 @ 4.08% 3-0 @ 3.86% 3-2 @ 2.16% 4-1 @ 1.41% 4-0 @ 1.34% Other @ 2.38% Total : 44.42% | 1-1 @ 12.73% 0-0 @ 8.69% 2-2 @ 4.66% Other @ 0.83% Total : 26.91% | 0-1 @ 9.18% 1-2 @ 6.73% 0-2 @ 4.85% 1-3 @ 2.37% 0-3 @ 1.71% 2-3 @ 1.64% Other @ 2.17% Total : 28.66% |