Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 44.42%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 28.66% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 0-1 (9.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rio Ave would win this match.
Result | ||
Rio Ave | Draw | Portimonense |
44.42% | 26.91% | 28.66% |
Both teams to score 48.94% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.15% | 55.84% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.03% | 76.96% |
Rio Ave Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.99% | 25% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.34% | 59.66% |
Portimonense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.25% | 34.74% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.52% | 71.47% |
Score Analysis |
Rio Ave | Draw | Portimonense |
1-0 @ 12.04% 2-1 @ 8.82% 2-0 @ 8.35% 3-1 @ 4.08% 3-0 @ 3.86% 3-2 @ 2.16% 4-1 @ 1.41% 4-0 @ 1.34% Other @ 2.38% Total : 44.42% | 1-1 @ 12.73% 0-0 @ 8.69% 2-2 @ 4.66% Other @ 0.83% Total : 26.91% | 0-1 @ 9.18% 1-2 @ 6.73% 0-2 @ 4.85% 1-3 @ 2.37% 0-3 @ 1.71% 2-3 @ 1.64% Other @ 2.17% Total : 28.66% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 14 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 36 |
2 | Benfica | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 31 | 7 | 24 | 31 |
3 | Porto | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 22 | 31 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 13 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 27 |
5 | Braga | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 24 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 21 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 20 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Gil Vicente | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 16 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 15 |
11 | Casa Pia | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 14 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 14 |
13 | Nacional | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 12 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 12 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 11 |
16 | AVS | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 11 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 9 |
18 | AroucaArouca | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 23 | -16 | 8 |
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