Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portimonense win with a probability of 44.95%. A win for SC Farense had a probability of 27.95% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portimonense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (8.58%). The likeliest SC Farense win was 0-1 (9.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portimonense would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Portimonense | Draw | SC Farense |
| 44.95% | 27.09% | 27.95% |
| Both teams to score 48.01% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.18% | 56.82% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.24% | 77.75% |
| Portimonense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.82% | 25.18% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.09% | 59.9% |
| SC Farense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.17% | 35.82% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.4% | 72.6% |
| Score Analysis |
| Portimonense | Draw | SC Farense |
| 1-0 @ 12.44% 2-1 @ 8.81% 2-0 @ 8.58% 3-1 @ 4.05% 3-0 @ 3.94% 3-2 @ 2.08% 4-1 @ 1.4% 4-0 @ 1.36% Other @ 2.3% Total : 44.95% | 1-1 @ 12.77% 0-0 @ 9.02% 2-2 @ 4.52% Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.09% | 0-1 @ 9.26% 1-2 @ 6.55% 0-2 @ 4.75% 1-3 @ 2.24% 0-3 @ 1.63% 2-3 @ 1.55% Other @ 1.97% Total : 27.95% |