Primeira Liga | Gameweek 9

Dec 7, 2020 at 8.15pm UK

Estádio de São Luís

Farense
2 - 1
Maritimo

Aouacheria (10'), Gauld (63' pen.)
Oudrhiri (33'), Isidoro (40'), Defendi (90+2'), Pedro (90+5')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Pinho (60')
Milson (42'), Guitane (56'), Cleber (61'), Costa (88')
Milson (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Primeira Liga clash between SC Farense and Maritimo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SC Farense win with a probability of 44.06%. A win for Maritimo had a probability of 28.59% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a SC Farense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (8.43%). The likeliest Maritimo win was 0-1 (9.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SC Farense would win this match.

Result
SC Farense	Draw	Maritimo
44.06%	27.34%	28.59%

Both teams to score 47.67%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.56%

57.44%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.75%

78.25%

SC Farense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.09%

25.91%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.1%

60.89%

Maritimo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.34%

35.65%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.57%

72.42%

Score Analysis

SC Farense 44.06%

Maritimo 28.59%

Draw 27.33%

SC Farense	Draw	Maritimo
1-0 @ 12.47% 2-1 @ 8.69% 2-0 @ 8.43% 3-1 @ 3.91% 3-0 @ 3.79% 3-2 @ 2.02% 4-1 @ 1.32% 4-0 @ 1.28% Other @ 2.15% Total : 44.06%	1-1 @ 12.86% 0-0 @ 9.24% 2-2 @ 4.48% Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.33%	0-1 @ 9.53% 1-2 @ 6.64% 0-2 @ 4.91% 1-3 @ 2.28% 0-3 @ 1.69% 2-3 @ 1.54% Other @ 2.01% Total : 28.59%