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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 3
Oct 3, 2020 at 6.30pm UK
Estádio Do Dragão
Maritimo

Porto
2 - 3
Maritimo

Pepe (42'), Otavio (90+9')
Mbemba (52'), Pepe (82')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Pinho (24', 52'), Nanu (90+4')
Pinho (45+2'), Kibe (73'), Costa (87'), Pelagio (90+5')
Coverage of the Primeira Liga clash between Porto and Maritimo.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 78.89%. A draw had a probability of 14.6% and a win for Maritimo had a probability of 6.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.62%) and 3-0 (12.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.82%), while for a Maritimo win it was 0-1 (2.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.

Result
PortoDrawMaritimo
78.89%14.62%6.49%
Both teams to score 37.97%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.51%43.49%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.11%65.89%
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91%9%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.34%30.66%
Maritimo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
41.73%58.27%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
10.26%89.74%
Score Analysis
    Porto 78.87%
    Maritimo 6.49%
    Draw 14.62%
PortoDrawMaritimo
2-0 @ 15.2%
1-0 @ 12.62%
3-0 @ 12.2%
2-1 @ 8.21%
4-0 @ 7.35%
3-1 @ 6.59%
4-1 @ 3.97%
5-0 @ 3.54%
5-1 @ 1.91%
3-2 @ 1.78%
6-0 @ 1.42%
4-2 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 78.87%
1-1 @ 6.82%
0-0 @ 5.24%
2-2 @ 2.22%
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 14.62%
0-1 @ 2.83%
1-2 @ 1.84%
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 6.49%