Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 45.98%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Maritimo had a probability of 26.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.94%) and 2-1 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.76%), while for a Maritimo win it was 0-1 (9.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Santa Clara would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Santa Clara | Draw | Maritimo |
| 45.98% | 27.19% | 26.83% |
| Both teams to score 47% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.24% | 57.76% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.5% | 78.5% |
| Santa Clara Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.91% | 25.09% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.21% | 59.78% |
| Maritimo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.74% | 37.26% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.96% | 74.04% |
| Score Analysis |
| Santa Clara | Draw | Maritimo |
| 1-0 @ 12.92% 2-0 @ 8.94% 2-1 @ 8.82% 3-0 @ 4.12% 3-1 @ 4.07% 3-2 @ 2.01% 4-0 @ 1.42% 4-1 @ 1.41% Other @ 2.28% Total : 45.98% | 1-1 @ 12.76% 0-0 @ 9.35% 2-2 @ 4.36% Other @ 0.72% Total : 27.18% | 0-1 @ 9.23% 1-2 @ 6.3% 0-2 @ 4.56% 1-3 @ 2.07% 0-3 @ 1.5% 2-3 @ 1.43% Other @ 1.74% Total : 26.83% |