Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 71.85%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 9.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.3%) and 3-0 (10.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.56%), while for a Moreirense win it was 0-1 (4.02%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
Result | ||
Porto | Draw | Moreirense |
71.85% | 18.22% | 9.93% |
Both teams to score 41.82% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.42% | 47.58% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.21% | 69.79% |
Porto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.12% | 11.89% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.8% | 37.2% |
Moreirense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
47.46% | 52.54% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
13.64% | 86.36% |
Score Analysis |
Porto | Draw | Moreirense |
2-0 @ 14.16% 1-0 @ 13.3% 3-0 @ 10.05% 2-1 @ 9.12% 3-1 @ 6.47% 4-0 @ 5.36% 4-1 @ 3.45% 5-0 @ 2.28% 3-2 @ 2.08% 5-1 @ 1.47% 4-2 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.99% Total : 71.84% | 1-1 @ 8.56% 0-0 @ 6.24% 2-2 @ 2.93% Other @ 0.49% Total : 18.22% | 0-1 @ 4.02% 1-2 @ 2.75% 0-2 @ 1.29% Other @ 1.86% Total : 9.93% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 30 | 26 | 2 | 2 | 87 | 27 | 60 | 80 |
2 | Benfica | 30 | 23 | 4 | 3 | 68 | 24 | 44 | 73 |
3 | Porto | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 55 | 24 | 31 | 62 |
4 | Braga | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 63 | 41 | 22 | 62 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 45 | 32 | 13 | 57 |
6 | AroucaArouca | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 51 | 40 | 11 | 44 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 43 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 30 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 33 | 38 | -5 | 36 |
9 | Casa Pia | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 32 |
10 | SC FarenseFarense | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 39 | 44 | -5 | 31 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 30 | 5 | 16 | 9 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 31 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 31 |
13 | BoavistaBoavista | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 30 |
14 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 45 | 52 | -7 | 30 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 29 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 34 | 64 | -30 | 28 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 30 | 62 | -32 | 23 |
18 | Vizela | 30 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 29 | 62 | -33 | 21 |
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