Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 41.87%. A win for Braga had a probability of 32.78% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.87%) and 0-2 (6.93%). The likeliest Braga win was 1-0 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Braga | Draw | Porto |
| 32.78% | 25.35% | 41.87% |
| Both teams to score 55.75% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.08% | 47.92% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.9% | 70.09% |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.2% | 27.8% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.61% | 63.39% |
| Porto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.22% | 22.78% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.52% | 56.47% |
| Score Analysis |
| Braga | Draw | Porto |
| 1-0 @ 8.11% 2-1 @ 7.68% 2-0 @ 5.19% 3-1 @ 3.28% 3-2 @ 2.42% 3-0 @ 2.21% 4-1 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.85% Total : 32.78% | 1-1 @ 11.99% 0-0 @ 6.33% 2-2 @ 5.68% 3-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.35% | 0-1 @ 9.37% 1-2 @ 8.87% 0-2 @ 6.93% 1-3 @ 4.37% 0-3 @ 3.42% 2-3 @ 2.8% 1-4 @ 1.62% 0-4 @ 1.26% 2-4 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.19% Total : 41.87% |