Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 69.18%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 11.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (13.49%) and 1-2 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.16%), while for a Boavista win it was 1-0 (4.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Boavista | Draw | Porto |
| 11.34% | 19.48% | 69.18% |
| Both teams to score 42.83% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.97% | 49.03% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.88% | 71.11% |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.27% | 50.73% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.84% | 85.16% |
| Porto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.93% | 13.07% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.33% | 39.67% |
| Score Analysis |
| Boavista | Draw | Porto |
| 1-0 @ 4.5% 2-1 @ 3.11% 2-0 @ 1.53% Other @ 2.21% Total : 11.34% | 1-1 @ 9.16% 0-0 @ 6.63% 2-2 @ 3.16% Other @ 0.53% Total : 19.48% | 0-2 @ 13.72% 0-1 @ 13.49% 1-2 @ 9.32% 0-3 @ 9.31% 1-3 @ 6.32% 0-4 @ 4.74% 1-4 @ 3.22% 2-3 @ 2.14% 0-5 @ 1.93% 1-5 @ 1.31% 2-4 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.59% Total : 69.17% |