Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 51.14%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 22.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.41%) and 2-1 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.33%), while for a Boavista win it was 0-1 (8.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nacional | Draw | Boavista |
| 51.14% | 26.57% | 22.29% |
| Both teams to score 44.57% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.21% | 58.79% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.7% | 79.3% |
| Nacional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.86% | 23.14% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43% | 57% |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.98% | 42.02% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.55% | 78.45% |
| Score Analysis |
| Nacional | Draw | Boavista |
| 1-0 @ 14.23% 2-0 @ 10.41% 2-1 @ 9.03% 3-0 @ 5.08% 3-1 @ 4.41% 3-2 @ 1.91% 4-0 @ 1.86% 4-1 @ 1.61% Other @ 2.59% Total : 51.13% | 1-1 @ 12.33% 0-0 @ 9.72% 2-2 @ 3.92% Other @ 0.6% Total : 26.56% | 0-1 @ 8.43% 1-2 @ 5.35% 0-2 @ 3.65% 1-3 @ 1.55% 2-3 @ 1.13% 0-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 1.13% Total : 22.29% |