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Sporting Lisbon
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Nacional
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 1
Sep 19, 2020 at 4pm UK
Estadio da Madeira
Boavista

Nacional
3 - 3
Boavista

Riascos (28'), Victor (36'), Camacho (90+1')
Kalindi (26'), Freitas (55'), Thill (82'), Rochez (90+5')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Sauer (19', 61'), Mangas (45+2')
Santos (22'), Gomes (64'), Awaziem (90+4')
Coverage of the Primeira Liga clash between Nacional and Boavista.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 51.14%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 22.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.41%) and 2-1 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.33%), while for a Boavista win it was 0-1 (8.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.

Result
NacionalDrawBoavista
51.14%26.57%22.29%
Both teams to score 44.57%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.21%58.79%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.7%79.3%
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.86%23.14%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43%57%
Boavista Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.98%42.02%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.55%78.45%
Score Analysis
    Nacional 51.13%
    Boavista 22.29%
    Draw 26.56%
NacionalDrawBoavista
1-0 @ 14.23%
2-0 @ 10.41%
2-1 @ 9.03%
3-0 @ 5.08%
3-1 @ 4.41%
3-2 @ 1.91%
4-0 @ 1.86%
4-1 @ 1.61%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 51.13%
1-1 @ 12.33%
0-0 @ 9.72%
2-2 @ 3.92%
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 26.56%
0-1 @ 8.43%
1-2 @ 5.35%
0-2 @ 3.65%
1-3 @ 1.55%
2-3 @ 1.13%
0-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 1.13%
Total : 22.29%

rhs 2.0


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