Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portimonense win with a probability of 45.06%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 27.84% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portimonense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (8.62%). The likeliest Boavista win was 0-1 (9.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portimonense would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Portimonense | Draw | Boavista |
| 45.06% | 27.1% | 27.84% |
| Both teams to score 47.9% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.06% | 56.94% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.15% | 77.84% |
| Portimonense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.82% | 25.18% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.1% | 59.9% |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.02% | 35.98% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.24% | 72.76% |
| Score Analysis |
| Portimonense | Draw | Boavista |
| 1-0 @ 12.49% 2-1 @ 8.81% 2-0 @ 8.62% 3-1 @ 4.05% 3-0 @ 3.96% 3-2 @ 2.07% 4-1 @ 1.4% 4-0 @ 1.37% Other @ 2.3% Total : 45.05% | 1-1 @ 12.77% 0-0 @ 9.06% 2-2 @ 4.5% Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.1% | 0-1 @ 9.26% 1-2 @ 6.53% 0-2 @ 4.73% 1-3 @ 2.22% 0-3 @ 1.61% 2-3 @ 1.53% Other @ 1.95% Total : 27.84% |