Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 73.26%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 9.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.65%) and 3-0 (10.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.19%), while for a Boavista win it was 0-1 (3.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Benfica | Draw | Boavista |
| 73.26% | 17.36% | 9.38% |
| Both teams to score 42.47% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.53% | 45.47% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.2% | 67.8% |
| Benfica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.08% | 10.92% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.9% | 35.09% |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 47.67% | 52.32% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 13.78% | 86.21% |
| Score Analysis |
| Benfica | Draw | Boavista |
| 2-0 @ 14.01% 1-0 @ 12.65% 3-0 @ 10.34% 2-1 @ 9.08% 3-1 @ 6.7% 4-0 @ 5.73% 4-1 @ 3.71% 5-0 @ 2.54% 3-2 @ 2.17% 5-1 @ 1.64% 4-2 @ 1.2% 6-0 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.54% Total : 73.25% | 1-1 @ 8.19% 0-0 @ 5.71% 2-2 @ 2.94% Other @ 0.51% Total : 17.36% | 0-1 @ 3.7% 1-2 @ 2.65% 0-2 @ 1.2% Other @ 1.83% Total : 9.38% |