Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 43.5%. A draw had a probability of 29.6% and a win for Maritimo had a probability of 26.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.02%) and 2-1 (7.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.18%), while for a Maritimo win it was 0-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Boavista | Draw | Maritimo |
| 43.5% | 29.59% | 26.91% |
| Both teams to score 40.88% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.5% | 65.5% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.76% | 84.24% |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.94% | 30.06% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.81% | 66.19% |
| Maritimo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.45% | 41.55% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.96% | 78.04% |
| Score Analysis |
| Boavista | Draw | Maritimo |
| 1-0 @ 15.01% 2-0 @ 9.02% 2-1 @ 7.92% 3-0 @ 3.62% 3-1 @ 3.18% 3-2 @ 1.39% 4-0 @ 1.09% 4-1 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.32% Total : 43.5% | 1-1 @ 13.18% 0-0 @ 12.49% 2-2 @ 3.48% Other @ 0.44% Total : 29.59% | 0-1 @ 10.96% 1-2 @ 5.79% 0-2 @ 4.82% 1-3 @ 1.7% 0-3 @ 1.41% 2-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 1.21% Total : 26.9% |