Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 47.04%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 25.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.58%) and 1-2 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.82%), while for a Boavista win it was 1-0 (9.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rio Ave would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Boavista | Draw | Rio Ave |
| 25.08% | 27.87% | 47.04% |
| Both teams to score 43.86% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.89% | 61.1% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.93% | 81.07% |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.34% | 40.66% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.75% | 77.25% |
| Rio Ave Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.91% | 26.09% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.86% | 61.14% |
| Score Analysis |
| Boavista | Draw | Rio Ave |
| 1-0 @ 9.55% 2-1 @ 5.77% 2-0 @ 4.3% 3-1 @ 1.73% 3-0 @ 1.29% 3-2 @ 1.16% Other @ 1.29% Total : 25.08% | 1-1 @ 12.82% 0-0 @ 10.6% 2-2 @ 3.88% Other @ 0.56% Total : 27.86% | 0-1 @ 14.25% 0-2 @ 9.58% 1-2 @ 8.62% 0-3 @ 4.29% 1-3 @ 3.86% 2-3 @ 1.74% 0-4 @ 1.44% 1-4 @ 1.3% Other @ 1.97% Total : 47.04% |