Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 43.09%. A win for Rio Ave had a probability of 30.72% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.88%) and 0-2 (7.65%). The likeliest Rio Ave win was 1-0 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rio Ave | Draw | Braga |
| 30.72% | 26.2% | 43.09% |
| Both teams to score 52.18% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.83% | 52.17% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.12% | 73.88% |
| Rio Ave Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.7% | 31.31% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.34% | 67.66% |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.96% | 24.04% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.7% | 58.31% |
| Score Analysis |
| Rio Ave | Draw | Braga |
| 1-0 @ 8.74% 2-1 @ 7.24% 2-0 @ 5.08% 3-1 @ 2.8% 3-2 @ 2% 3-0 @ 1.97% Other @ 2.91% Total : 30.72% | 1-1 @ 12.45% 0-0 @ 7.53% 2-2 @ 5.16% 3-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.19% | 0-1 @ 10.72% 1-2 @ 8.88% 0-2 @ 7.65% 1-3 @ 4.22% 0-3 @ 3.63% 2-3 @ 2.45% 1-4 @ 1.5% 0-4 @ 1.3% Other @ 2.73% Total : 43.08% |