Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 45.95%. A win for Famalicao had a probability of 29.56% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.22%) and 0-2 (7.45%). The likeliest Famalicao win was 2-1 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Famalicao | Draw | Braga |
29.56% | 24.49% | 45.95% |
Both teams to score 57.11% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.55% | 45.46% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.21% | 67.79% |
Famalicao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.29% | 28.71% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.47% | 64.54% |
Braga Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.11% | 19.89% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.99% | 52.01% |
Score Analysis |
Famalicao | Draw | Braga |
2-1 @ 7.18% 1-0 @ 7.13% 2-0 @ 4.45% 3-1 @ 2.99% 3-2 @ 2.41% 3-0 @ 1.85% 4-1 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.62% Total : 29.56% | 1-1 @ 11.5% 2-2 @ 5.8% 0-0 @ 5.71% 3-3 @ 1.3% Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.49% | 1-2 @ 9.29% 0-1 @ 9.22% 0-2 @ 7.45% 1-3 @ 5% 0-3 @ 4.01% 2-3 @ 3.12% 1-4 @ 2.02% 0-4 @ 1.62% 2-4 @ 1.26% Other @ 2.96% Total : 45.95% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 30 | 26 | 2 | 2 | 87 | 27 | 60 | 80 |
2 | Benfica | 30 | 23 | 4 | 3 | 68 | 24 | 44 | 73 |
3 | Porto | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 55 | 24 | 31 | 62 |
4 | Braga | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 63 | 41 | 22 | 62 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 45 | 32 | 13 | 57 |
6 | AroucaArouca | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 45 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 43 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 30 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 33 | 38 | -5 | 36 |
9 | Gil Vicente | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 32 |
10 | Casa Pia | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 32 |
11 | SC FarenseFarense | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 39 | 44 | -5 | 31 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 30 | 5 | 16 | 9 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 31 |
13 | BoavistaBoavista | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 30 |
14 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 45 | 52 | -7 | 30 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 29 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 34 | 64 | -30 | 28 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 30 | 62 | -32 | 23 |
18 | Vizela | 30 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 29 | 62 | -33 | 21 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |