Primeira Liga | Gameweek 28

Jun 23, 2020 at 7pm UK

Estadio do Bonfim

Setubal
1 - 2
Rio Ave

Guedes (25')
Makaridze (26'), Carlinhos (51')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Taremi (27' pen.), Gelson (80')

Coverage of the Primeira Liga clash between Vitoria de Setubal and Rio Ave.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 50.46%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Vitoria de Setubal had a probability of 22.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.45%) and 1-2 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.46%), while for a Vitoria de Setubal win it was 1-0 (8.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rio Ave would win this match.

Result
Vitoria de Setubal	Draw	Rio Ave
22.39%	27.14%	50.46%

Both teams to score 43.22%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.41%

60.59%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.31%

80.69%

Vitoria de Setubal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.04%

42.96%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.74%

79.26%

Rio Ave Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.77%

24.22%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.43%

58.57%

Score Analysis

Vitoria de Setubal 22.39%

Rio Ave 50.45%

Draw 27.13%

Vitoria de Setubal	Draw	Rio Ave
1-0 @ 8.79% 2-1 @ 5.27% 2-0 @ 3.72% 3-1 @ 1.48% 3-2 @ 1.05% 3-0 @ 1.05% Other @ 1.04% Total : 22.39%	1-1 @ 12.46% 0-0 @ 10.4% 2-2 @ 3.73% Other @ 0.54% Total : 27.13%	0-1 @ 14.75% 0-2 @ 10.45% 1-2 @ 8.84% 0-3 @ 4.94% 1-3 @ 4.18% 2-3 @ 1.77% 0-4 @ 1.75% 1-4 @ 1.48% Other @ 2.3% Total : 50.45%