Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 38.17%. A win for Moreirense had a probability of 34.88% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.24%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest Moreirense win was 1-0 (9.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Rio Ave in this match.
| Result | ||
| Moreirense | Draw | Rio Ave |
| 34.88% | 26.95% | 38.17% |
| Both teams to score 50.99% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.76% | 54.23% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.36% | 75.64% |
| Moreirense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.43% | 29.57% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.4% | 65.6% |
| Rio Ave Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.4% | 27.6% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.87% | 63.13% |
| Score Analysis |
| Moreirense | Draw | Rio Ave |
| 1-0 @ 9.94% 2-1 @ 7.8% 2-0 @ 6.06% 3-1 @ 3.17% 3-0 @ 2.46% 3-2 @ 2.04% 4-1 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.45% Total : 34.88% | 1-1 @ 12.8% 0-0 @ 8.16% 2-2 @ 5.02% Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.95% | 0-1 @ 10.5% 1-2 @ 8.24% 0-2 @ 6.76% 1-3 @ 3.54% 0-3 @ 2.9% 2-3 @ 2.15% 1-4 @ 1.14% 0-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.99% Total : 38.16% |