Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 51.21%. A win for Santa Clara had a probability of 24.57% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.64%) and 0-2 (8.88%). The likeliest Santa Clara win was 1-0 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Santa Clara | Draw | Braga |
24.57% | 24.22% | 51.21% |
Both teams to score 53.84% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.16% | 47.84% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.98% | 70.02% |
Santa Clara Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.22% | 33.78% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.55% | 70.45% |
Braga Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.32% | 18.68% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.97% | 50.03% |
Score Analysis |
Santa Clara | Draw | Braga |
1-0 @ 6.85% 2-1 @ 6.24% 2-0 @ 3.72% 3-1 @ 2.26% 3-2 @ 1.89% 3-0 @ 1.35% Other @ 2.28% Total : 24.57% | 1-1 @ 11.49% 0-0 @ 6.31% 2-2 @ 5.23% 3-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.22% | 0-1 @ 10.58% 1-2 @ 9.64% 0-2 @ 8.88% 1-3 @ 5.39% 0-3 @ 4.97% 2-3 @ 2.92% 1-4 @ 2.26% 0-4 @ 2.08% 2-4 @ 1.23% Other @ 3.25% Total : 51.2% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 30 | 26 | 2 | 2 | 87 | 27 | 60 | 80 |
2 | Benfica | 30 | 23 | 4 | 3 | 68 | 24 | 44 | 73 |
3 | Porto | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 55 | 24 | 31 | 62 |
4 | Braga | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 63 | 41 | 22 | 62 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 45 | 32 | 13 | 57 |
6 | AroucaArouca | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 51 | 40 | 11 | 44 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 43 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 30 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 33 | 38 | -5 | 36 |
9 | Casa Pia | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 32 |
10 | SC FarenseFarense | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 39 | 44 | -5 | 31 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 30 | 5 | 16 | 9 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 31 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 31 |
13 | BoavistaBoavista | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 30 |
14 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 45 | 52 | -7 | 30 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 29 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 34 | 64 | -30 | 28 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 30 | 62 | -32 | 23 |
18 | Vizela | 30 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 29 | 62 | -33 | 21 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |