Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 51.21%. A win for Santa Clara had a probability of 24.57% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.64%) and 0-2 (8.88%). The likeliest Santa Clara win was 1-0 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Santa Clara | Draw | Braga |
| 24.57% | 24.22% | 51.21% |
| Both teams to score 53.84% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.16% | 47.84% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.98% | 70.02% |
| Santa Clara Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.22% | 33.78% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.55% | 70.45% |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.32% | 18.68% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.97% | 50.03% |
| Score Analysis |
| Santa Clara | Draw | Braga |
| 1-0 @ 6.85% 2-1 @ 6.24% 2-0 @ 3.72% 3-1 @ 2.26% 3-2 @ 1.89% 3-0 @ 1.35% Other @ 2.28% Total : 24.57% | 1-1 @ 11.49% 0-0 @ 6.31% 2-2 @ 5.23% 3-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.22% | 0-1 @ 10.58% 1-2 @ 9.64% 0-2 @ 8.88% 1-3 @ 5.39% 0-3 @ 4.97% 2-3 @ 2.92% 1-4 @ 2.26% 0-4 @ 2.08% 2-4 @ 1.23% Other @ 3.25% Total : 51.2% |