Primeira Liga | Gameweek 27

Jun 17, 2020 at 9.15pm UK

Estadio dos Arcos

Rio Ave
1 - 2
Benfica

Taremi (26')
Elmusrati (13'), Figueiras (80')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Seferovic (64'), Weigl (87')
Pizzi (45+3'), Dias (74')

Coverage of the Primeira Liga clash between Rio Ave and Benfica.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 49.39%. A win for Rio Ave had a probability of 25.31% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.41%) and 0-2 (9.02%). The likeliest Rio Ave win was 1-0 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result
Rio Ave	Draw	Benfica
25.31%	25.3%	49.39%

Both teams to score 51.23%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.35%

51.64%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.57%

73.43%

Rio Ave Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.78%

35.22%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.03%

71.97%

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.07%

20.92%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.34%

53.65%

Score Analysis

Rio Ave 25.31%

Benfica 49.39%

Draw 25.3%

Rio Ave	Draw	Benfica
1-0 @ 7.69% 2-1 @ 6.28% 2-0 @ 4.01% 3-1 @ 2.18% 3-2 @ 1.71% 3-0 @ 1.4% Other @ 2.04% Total : 25.31%	1-1 @ 12.03% 0-0 @ 7.37% 2-2 @ 4.91% Other @ 0.99% Total : 25.3%	0-1 @ 11.52% 1-2 @ 9.41% 0-2 @ 9.02% 1-3 @ 4.91% 0-3 @ 4.7% 2-3 @ 2.56% 1-4 @ 1.92% 0-4 @ 1.84% 2-4 @ 1% Other @ 2.52% Total : 49.39%