Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 48.22%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 25.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.38%) and 2-1 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.52%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 0-1 (8.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rio Ave | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
| 48.22% | 26.61% | 25.17% |
| Both teams to score 47.29% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.28% | 56.72% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.33% | 77.68% |
| Rio Ave Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.43% | 23.57% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.36% | 57.64% |
| Pacos de Ferreira Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.88% | 38.12% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.11% | 74.89% |
| Score Analysis |
| Rio Ave | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
| 1-0 @ 12.98% 2-0 @ 9.38% 2-1 @ 9.05% 3-0 @ 4.52% 3-1 @ 4.36% 3-2 @ 2.1% 4-0 @ 1.63% 4-1 @ 1.58% Other @ 2.61% Total : 48.21% | 1-1 @ 12.52% 0-0 @ 8.99% 2-2 @ 4.36% Other @ 0.74% Total : 26.61% | 0-1 @ 8.67% 1-2 @ 6.04% 0-2 @ 4.18% 1-3 @ 1.94% 2-3 @ 1.4% 0-3 @ 1.34% Other @ 1.6% Total : 25.17% |