Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Katwijk win with a probability of 44.1%. A win for Den Bosch had a probability of 34.12% and a draw had a probability of 21.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Katwijk win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.43%) and 0-1 (5.25%). The likeliest Den Bosch win was 2-1 (7.38%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.