Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Den Bosch win with a probability of 47.25%. A win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 30.82% and a draw had a probability of 21.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Den Bosch win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.99%) and 2-0 (5.81%). The likeliest VVV-Venlo win was 1-2 (7.09%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.