Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 38.98%. A win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 33.66% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.25%) and 0-2 (7.09%). The likeliest Gil Vicente win was 1-0 (10.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gil Vicente | Draw | Rio Ave |
| 33.66% | 27.36% | 38.98% |
| Both teams to score 49.53% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.01% | 55.99% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.91% | 77.08% |
| Gil Vicente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.76% | 31.23% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.42% | 67.58% |
| Rio Ave Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.03% | 27.97% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.39% | 63.6% |
| Score Analysis |
| Gil Vicente | Draw | Rio Ave |
| 1-0 @ 10.16% 2-1 @ 7.54% 2-0 @ 5.92% 3-1 @ 2.92% 3-0 @ 2.29% 3-2 @ 1.86% Other @ 2.97% Total : 33.66% | 1-1 @ 12.95% 0-0 @ 8.74% 2-2 @ 4.8% Other @ 0.87% Total : 27.35% | 0-1 @ 11.13% 1-2 @ 8.25% 0-2 @ 7.09% 1-3 @ 3.5% 0-3 @ 3.01% 2-3 @ 2.04% 1-4 @ 1.12% 0-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.88% Total : 38.98% |