Primeira Liga | Gameweek 29

Jul 1, 2020 at 9.15pm UK

Jose Alvalade

Sporting Lisbon
2 - 1
Gil Vicente

Wendel (21'), Plata (49')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Ribeiro (90' pen.)
Lino (75'), Nogueira (90+1')

Coverage of the Primeira Liga clash between Sporting Lisbon and Gil Vicente.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 59.1%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 16.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.64%) and 2-1 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.21%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 0-1 (6.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result
Sporting Lisbon	Draw	Gil Vicente
59.1%	24.53%	16.38%

Both teams to score 41.26%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.63%

58.36%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.02%

78.98%

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.32%

19.67%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.34%

51.66%

Gil Vicente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.37%

48.63%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.31%

83.68%

Score Analysis

Sporting Lisbon 59.09%

Gil Vicente 16.38%

Draw 24.52%

Sporting Lisbon	Draw	Gil Vicente
1-0 @ 15.55% 2-0 @ 12.64% 2-1 @ 9.12% 3-0 @ 6.85% 3-1 @ 4.94% 4-0 @ 2.79% 4-1 @ 2.01% 3-2 @ 1.78% 5-0 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.5% Total : 59.09%	1-1 @ 11.21% 0-0 @ 9.57% 2-2 @ 3.29% Other @ 0.46% Total : 24.52%	0-1 @ 6.9% 1-2 @ 4.04% 0-2 @ 2.49% 1-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.98% Total : 16.38%