Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 36.4%. A win for Maritimo had a probability of 35.07% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.66%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Maritimo win was 1-0 (11.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Maritimo | Draw | Gil Vicente |
| 35.07% | 28.53% | 36.4% |
| Both teams to score 46.21% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.81% | 60.19% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.62% | 80.38% |
| Maritimo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.55% | 32.45% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.03% | 68.97% |
| Gil Vicente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.41% | 31.59% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32% | 67.99% |
| Score Analysis |
| Maritimo | Draw | Gil Vicente |
| 1-0 @ 11.53% 2-1 @ 7.48% 2-0 @ 6.49% 3-1 @ 2.81% 3-0 @ 2.44% 3-2 @ 1.62% Other @ 2.7% Total : 35.06% | 1-1 @ 13.29% 0-0 @ 10.24% 2-2 @ 4.31% Other @ 0.67% Total : 28.52% | 0-1 @ 11.81% 1-2 @ 7.66% 0-2 @ 6.81% 1-3 @ 2.94% 0-3 @ 2.61% 2-3 @ 1.66% Other @ 2.91% Total : 36.4% |