Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maritimo win with a probability of 39.26%. A win for Vitoria de Setubal had a probability of 33.39% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maritimo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Vitoria de Setubal win was 0-1 (10.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Maritimo | Draw | Vitoria de Setubal |
| 39.26% | 27.35% | 33.39% |
| Both teams to score 49.5% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.99% | 56.01% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.9% | 77.1% |
| Maritimo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.18% | 27.82% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.59% | 63.41% |
| Vitoria de Setubal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.57% | 31.43% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.2% | 67.81% |
| Score Analysis |
| Maritimo | Draw | Vitoria de Setubal |
| 1-0 @ 11.18% 2-1 @ 8.28% 2-0 @ 7.16% 3-1 @ 3.53% 3-0 @ 3.05% 3-2 @ 2.04% 4-1 @ 1.13% 4-0 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.9% Total : 39.26% | 1-1 @ 12.94% 0-0 @ 8.74% 2-2 @ 4.79% Other @ 0.87% Total : 27.34% | 0-1 @ 10.12% 1-2 @ 7.49% 0-2 @ 5.86% 1-3 @ 2.89% 0-3 @ 2.26% 2-3 @ 1.85% Other @ 2.92% Total : 33.39% |