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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 47.23%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 27.54% and a draw had a probability of 25.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (8.28%). The likeliest Newport County win was 0-1 (7.71%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Newport County |
| 47.23% | 25.23% | 27.54% |
| Both teams to score 53.29% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.17% | 49.83% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.17% | 71.83% |
| Crewe Alexandra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.88% | 21.12% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.04% | 53.96% |
| Newport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.56% | 32.44% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.04% | 68.96% |
| Score Analysis |
| Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Newport County |
| 1-0 @ 10.65% 2-1 @ 9.33% 2-0 @ 8.28% 3-1 @ 4.83% 3-0 @ 4.29% 3-2 @ 2.72% 4-1 @ 1.88% 4-0 @ 1.67% 4-2 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.51% Total : 47.23% | 1-1 @ 11.99% 0-0 @ 6.85% 2-2 @ 5.25% 3-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.23% | 0-1 @ 7.71% 1-2 @ 6.75% 0-2 @ 4.34% 1-3 @ 2.53% 2-3 @ 1.97% 0-3 @ 1.63% Other @ 2.6% Total : 27.54% |