Primeira Liga | Gameweek 26

Jun 10, 2020 at 9.30pm UK

Estádio Do Dragão

Porto
1 - 0
Maritimo

Corona (6')
Manafa (57'), Telles (61'), Uribe (90+4')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Moreno (19'), Bebeto (36'), Milson (78')

Coverage of the Primeira Liga clash between Porto and Maritimo.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 77.9%. A draw had a probability of 15.4% and a win for Maritimo had a probability of 6.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.53%) and 3-0 (12.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.08%), while for a Maritimo win it was 0-1 (3.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
Porto	Draw	Maritimo
77.9%	15.38%	6.71%

Both teams to score 36.72%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.99%

46%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.69%

68.31%

Porto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.14%

9.86%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67.3%

32.7%

Maritimo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

40.73%

59.26%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

9.73%

90.27%

Score Analysis

Porto 77.89%

Maritimo 6.71%

Draw 15.38%

Porto	Draw	Maritimo
2-0 @ 15.68% 1-0 @ 13.53% 3-0 @ 12.11% 2-1 @ 8.21% 4-0 @ 7.02% 3-1 @ 6.34% 4-1 @ 3.67% 5-0 @ 3.25% 5-1 @ 1.7% 3-2 @ 1.66% 6-0 @ 1.26% 4-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.52% Total : 77.89%	1-1 @ 7.08% 0-0 @ 5.84% 2-2 @ 2.15% Other @ 0.31% Total : 15.38%	0-1 @ 3.06% 1-2 @ 1.85% Other @ 1.8% Total : 6.71%