Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 40.45%. A win for had a probability of 31.24% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.16%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest win was 0-1 (10.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%).
| Result | ||
| Maritimo | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
| 40.45% | 28.31% | 31.24% |
| Both teams to score 46.14% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.05% | 59.95% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.8% | 80.2% |
| Maritimo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.96% | 29.04% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.05% | 64.94% |
| Pacos de Ferreira Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.02% | 34.98% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.28% | 71.72% |
| Score Analysis |
| Maritimo | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
| 1-0 @ 12.55% 2-1 @ 8.16% 2-0 @ 7.77% 3-1 @ 3.36% 3-0 @ 3.2% 3-2 @ 1.77% 4-1 @ 1.04% 4-0 @ 0.99% Other @ 1.61% Total : 40.44% | 1-1 @ 13.19% 0-0 @ 10.15% 2-2 @ 4.29% Other @ 0.67% Total : 28.3% | 0-1 @ 10.66% 1-2 @ 6.93% 0-2 @ 5.6% 1-3 @ 2.43% 0-3 @ 1.96% 2-3 @ 1.5% Other @ 2.15% Total : 31.24% |