Portimonense

1 - 0

Gil Vicente

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portimonense win with a probability of 46.73%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 26.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portimonense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.01%) and 2-1 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.64%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 0-1 (8.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Portimonense in this match.